You Call 'em

    Share

    spader
    All-Star
    All-Star

    Number of posts : 10038
    Registration date : 2009-07-09

    Re: You Call 'em

    Post by spader on Sun Oct 23, 2011 4:40 am

    spader wrote:I'm calling Vokoun for the Vez this year. I was just looking at his stats. In 632 NHL games with the Preds and the Panthers, he's 262-267-35-41 with a career .917 SV%. Imagine what his splits'll look like after a season playing in front of a team that's built to score goals. He's gonna be lights out. Barring another "Tim Thomas 2010-11" performance from someone like--oh, I don't know--Tim Thomas, he's gonna walk away with the hardware next off-season.

    Book it.

    Anyone else have a bold claim about the next award winners? Let's hear it. Cheering

    Quick is complicating things.

    spader
    All-Star
    All-Star

    Number of posts : 10038
    Registration date : 2009-07-09

    Re: You Call 'em

    Post by spader on Mon Jan 23, 2012 12:52 am

    It's not exactly a bold prediction at this point, but Malkin sure looks like he's having a Hart Trophy season. If they stay in playoff position, my money's on him. He's really put that team on his back this year.

    PTFlea
    Co-Founder
    Co-Founder

    Number of posts : 54245
    Registration date : 2008-07-31

    Re: You Call 'em

    Post by PTFlea on Mon Jan 23, 2012 12:53 pm

    spader wrote:It's not exactly a bold prediction at this point, but Malkin sure looks like he's having a Hart Trophy season. If they stay in playoff position, my money's on him. He's really put that team on his back this year.

    Hard to argue with that right now.
    avatar
    PTFlea
    Co-Founder
    Co-Founder

    Number of posts : 54245
    Favorite Team : Ottawa
    Registration date : 2008-07-31

    Re: You Call 'em

    Post by PTFlea on Mon Jan 23, 2012 12:55 pm

    Neat thread to look back on...
    avatar
    wprager
    Administrator
    Administrator

    Number of posts : 47682
    Age : 55
    Location : Kanata
    Favorite Team : Ottawa
    Registration date : 2008-08-05

    Re: You Call 'em

    Post by wprager on Mon Jan 23, 2012 1:22 pm

    SpezDispenser wrote:
    spader wrote:It's not exactly a bold prediction at this point, but Malkin sure looks like he's having a Hart Trophy season. If they stay in playoff position, my money's on him. He's really put that team on his back this year.

    Hard to argue with that right now.

    He's like that when Sid's not around. Then he kind of fades into the background a bit when Sid plays. If Sid plays?


    _________________
    Hey, I don't have all the answers. In life, to be honest, I've failed as much as I have succeeded. But I love my wife. I love my life. And I wish you my kind of success.
    - Dicky Fox
    avatar
    wprager
    Administrator
    Administrator

    Number of posts : 47682
    Age : 55
    Location : Kanata
    Favorite Team : Ottawa
    Registration date : 2008-08-05

    Re: You Call 'em

    Post by wprager on Mon Jan 23, 2012 1:23 pm

    SpezDispenser wrote:Neat thread to look back on...

    Like SS's prediction of Michalek leading the Sens in goals scored?


    _________________
    Hey, I don't have all the answers. In life, to be honest, I've failed as much as I have succeeded. But I love my wife. I love my life. And I wish you my kind of success.
    - Dicky Fox
    avatar
    wprager
    Administrator
    Administrator

    Number of posts : 47682
    Age : 55
    Location : Kanata
    Favorite Team : Ottawa
    Registration date : 2008-08-05

    Re: You Call 'em

    Post by wprager on Sun Jan 29, 2012 2:33 pm

    NEELY wrote:If Butler and Filatov can get a combined 40 goals between them, we will be talking about the playoffs and The Sens come March and April. If a guy like Greening can put in 15-20, we might be talking about the playoffs.

    It breaks down like this IMO, if the top 6 in Ottawa can scorer 120-140 goals, The Sens will be able to sneek in. You will probably get 45-50 goals from the blueline assuming Karlsson and Gonchar can somehow get 20-25 between them. The 3rd and 4th lines, if they can get you 40-50 goals as well, that's what they will need.

    So you are looking at on the low end 205 goals, MAYBE that gets them in if Anderson plays the way Thomas did last year. On the high end, 240 goals will get The Sens in without much trouble. If they can score over 220 goals I think they make it. If not, it's a stretch.

    Sens are on pace for 94.6 points, I think it's fair to say they are a lock for making the playoffs (assuming the trend continues; and with an easier schedule for them and harder for the rest of the teams, I think it will). So with that, let's look at some of those other numbers (sorry for picking on you, NEELY, but I'm sure you can take it):

    40-50 for Butler/Filatov combined. Wow. I know you were not predicting it. Good thing, too. Wow. Those were not ridiculous numbers during the summer, either.

    Greening is on pace for 17, right in the middle of the 15-20 range. Again, I know it was not a prediction, but still.

    For the purposes of extrapolation I'll take the top-six as Alfie, Spezza, Michalek, Foligno, Turris, Greening. Turris will not play a full season here but if I divide that sixth spot between him and Butler I don't think it will make much of a difference. I'll only project for his 19 games here, though, not the games he played in Phoenix. Alfie(28), Spezza(31), Michalek(38), Foligno(19), Turris(10), Greening(17) adds up to 143, ahead of NEELY's 120-140.

    Karlsson appears to be on pace for 11 (but he was on pace for 2 for so long that it's probably more likely he'll get closer to 15. Gonchar, though, is probably not getting more than 5. 20-25 is not happening and neither is 45-50 from the back-end. We *are* getting a lot of production back there, though, just as assists. This explains the higher numbers up front.

    As a team, the Sens are on pace for 239 goals. With Turris in the lineup I think we'll break 240.

    The problem, though, has been the goals against. I know Anderson's been playing better, lately, but over the season they are still -3, and are scoring fewer goals than they get scored against them. 52 games in you can no-longer point at the two lopsided losses for an excuse. It's true, with a young team it's possible you lose by 2-3 goals more often than not, and with a lot of OT games a lot of their wins have been by 1 goal.

    Bottom line, I think they make the playoffs around #6 but Anderson's play determines what happens to them after that.


    _________________
    Hey, I don't have all the answers. In life, to be honest, I've failed as much as I have succeeded. But I love my wife. I love my life. And I wish you my kind of success.
    - Dicky Fox
    avatar
    Riprock
    All-Star
    All-Star

    Number of posts : 11867
    Age : 33
    Location : Ottawa
    Favorite Team : Ottawa
    Registration date : 2008-08-05

    Re: You Call 'em

    Post by Riprock on Tue Jan 31, 2012 1:47 pm

    Projections:
    Riprock wrote:Here are my projections (goal wise) for a few Sens:

    Bobby Butler: 22
    Jason Spezza: 29
    Milan Michalek: 24
    Erik Karlsson: 14
    Daniel Alfredsson: 21

    First off, I just want to say: "Damn you, Be-Bi-Bo-Bobby Butler!"

    Stats as of today (52 GP)

    Bobby Butler: 5
    Jason Spezza: 20
    Milan Michalek: 23
    Erik Karlsson: 7
    Daniel Alfredsson: 17

    Should be noted that at the 52 game mark, the Sens have 6 double-digit goal scorers :KKK:

    So far, I would say I'm pretty close to the mark with Spezza and Alfie. I would hope Michalek gets more than 1 goal in the next 30 games. Karlsson's points have come from assists, and he's exceeded a lto of people's expectations. If he doubles his goals in 30 games I will be quite pleased.
    avatar
    Riprock
    All-Star
    All-Star

    Number of posts : 11867
    Age : 33
    Location : Ottawa
    Favorite Team : Ottawa
    Registration date : 2008-08-05

    Re: You Call 'em

    Post by Riprock on Tue Jan 31, 2012 1:49 pm

    I was also really negative about the Sens team at the beginning of the year. Wanted them to draft high, because I didn't expect them to be where they are now. However, I am happy to see them doing well.

    Sponsored content

    Re: You Call 'em

    Post by Sponsored content


      Current date/time is Wed Aug 23, 2017 4:10 am