rooneypoo wrote:This is why so many OTT fans are disappointed in their team and their players. They have super unrealistic expectations. Take Butler and Filatov, for instance. If each of those guys has a 15-20 goal / 40-50 point season this year, that should be viewed as a huge step forward. But, if we're lucky and something like that happens, will most people see it that way? I doubt it.
If each of those guys has a 40-50 point season,
Hemlock will drink a glass
I'll be ecstatic.
As you should be. It would be a step in the right direction for either/both. This is what I mean in terms of defining realistic parameters for a player's "success." Expecting a guy who's never played a full season of NHL hockey in his life to step in and score 25+ goals is ridiculous. So is expecting a 35+ D to step in and produce 60+ points.
Butler and Filatov will, best case scenario, have their ups and downs throughout the season, and Gonchar, best case scenario, will miss a few games and lose another step or two throughout the season. If the first two have something like 15G/35P or 20G/40P seasons, and the third has a 40+P season, then they would have all had successful seasons. Anything over that is gravy, and a pleasant surprise. But expecting anything beyond that is misguided in the extreme, and setting yourself up to be disappointed in the player and the team.
You gonna call it? What are your projections for those 3 guys this year? Remember where you are.
Sure. I'll say 15-20G & 40-45P for Butler, and the same (or total bust) for Filatov (it can only go one of two ways with this guy).
Gonchar is trickier, especially with that concussion at the end of the season. I'll say 60GP, 35+P. I've already made the decision to drop him as one of my six keepers in my keeper league, which was tough.
On a not-totally unrelated point, btw, which 6 players would you keep from this list? Scoring cats are G, A, +/-, PIM, PPG, PPA, DEF (points by a defencemen), W, GAA, SV%, and SVs:
C: Backstrom, Lecavalier, Kesler (also LW last year)
D: Keith, Yandle, Byfuglien, Karlsson, Gonchar
G: Luongo, Hiller
I'm leaning toward Backstrom, Kesler, Kane, Keith, Yandle, and Luongo. But tossing aside Lecavalier, Buff, and Karlsson is a hard one to swallow. If I'm lucky, one of them will be available to me with my 1st round pick (at #10).